Beyond El Niño: Winter weather may help predict East Asian summer typhoons
Peer-Reviewed Publication
Updates every hour. Last Updated: 10-Nov-2026 12:16 ET (10-Nov-2026 17:16 GMT/UTC)
Typhoon season has been particularly brutal this year, with 26 named storms battering East Asia. The storms are difficult to predict, especially months in advance when mitigation planning could be most useful, but large-scale weather patterns may offer clues. This year, many are pointing at the strong El Niño, a cyclical phenomenon of warming ocean surface temperatures, as the primary driver of the increased number and severity of the storms — but it might not be entirely El Niño’s fault and there may be better predictors, according to researchers at Zhejiang University.
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