Cul-de-sac effect: Why Mediterranean regions are becoming more prone to extreme floods in a changing climate
Peer-Reviewed Publication
Updates every hour. Last Updated: 6-Nov-2025 14:11 ET (6-Nov-2025 19:11 GMT/UTC)
By analyzing the devastating floods that affected Emilia-Romagna, Italy, in 2023 and 2024, a team of researchers from CMCC - the Euro-Mediterranean Center on Climate Change - describes for the first time how a particular orographic configuration makes certain regions particularly prone to extreme flooding. The “cul-de-sac” effect: where mountains act as a trap for moisture over a confined area for several days, while a stationary cyclone continues to channel humid air, leading to prolonged and intense precipitation. The research shows how these events, which affect other Mediterranean areas with similar orography, could become more frequent in a changing climate, paving the way for new forecasts and improved early warning systems that will help communities better prepare.
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