Validation technique could help scientists make more accurate forecasts
Reports and Proceedings
Updates every hour. Last Updated: 6-Aug-2025 14:11 ET (6-Aug-2025 18:11 GMT/UTC)
A new evaluation method assesses the accuracy of spatial prediction techniques, outperforming traditional methods. This could help scientists make better predictions in areas like weather forecasting, climate research, public health, and ecological management.
In June 2024, southern China experienced record-breaking heavy rainfall, resulting in devastating societal and economic impacts. The underlying cause of this extreme event remained unclear until this study, published in Science Bulletin, provided new insights. Based on analyses from numerical simulations using an Earth System Model (ESM), an international team of scientists identified excessive spring land heating over the Tibetan Plateau as the primary factor driving the catastrophic June 2024 rainfall in southern China.