New study shows how ancient climates may inform monsoon prediction
Peer-Reviewed Publication
Updates every hour. Last Updated: 28-Jun-2025 17:10 ET (28-Jun-2025 21:10 GMT/UTC)
A recent study published in Nature has explored how the South Asian Summer Monsoon (SASM) responds to warming under six climate scenarios, spanning from the past to the future. Led by researchers from the Institute of Atmospheric Physics at the Chinese Academy of Sciences, the study develops a unified framework based on thermodynamic (moisture-driven) and dynamic (wind-driven) processes that govern changes in the SASM, suggesting that insights from past warm climates can inform our understanding of the future SASM.
As the most seismically active regions in the world, oceanic subduction zones show contrasting seismicity in different regions. A review by a team from Nanjing University explored the relationships among the thermal structure, metamorphism, deformation and fluid activity of oceanic subduction zones. The thermal structure of subduction zones not only controls dehydration depths of hydrous minerals, but also affects the mechanical coupling state of the subduction plate interface, eclogitization of the subducted oceanic crust, and phase transition of olivine in the subducted lithospheric mantle. Fault stick-slip behavior is the major mechanism of shallow earthquakes (<70 km), while dehydration embrittlement of hydrous minerals and other mechanisms may trigger intermediate-depth earthquakes (70–300 km). The amounts of earthquakes decrease sharply below 160 km in warm subduction zones, but below ~300 km in cold subduction zones where hydrous minerals release water at greater depths. Cold slabs could carry water down to depths >300 km, resulting in localized water enrichment in the mantle transition zone. More studies are needed to decipher how the fluid activity triggers slow earthquakes and deep-focus earthquakes. The review is published in Science China Earth Sciences.