Predicting animal movements under global change
Swansea UniversityPeer-Reviewed Publication
New research will help scientists predict where and when animals will move, a task which is becoming more urgent, given the current rapid pace of global change.
On our planet, at any one moment, billions of animals are on the move. From migratory birds, insects, marine mammals and sharks connecting distant continents and seas, to bees and other insects pollinating our crops, to grazing animals roaming across the plain. The study of animal movement has grown fast in recent decades. However, much of this work still focuses on describing and understanding current patterns, rather than predicting future movements.
The problem is that using the past and present as a guide will be of limited use given how quickly environments are changing, due to new patterns of land use, climate change, and human population shifts.
This is where the new research comes in. It sets out a framework that can help scientists provide more robust predictions in rapidly changing environmental conditions. It can help to conserve species, but also to protect wider ecosystems and our environment and the many services these provide to human wellbeing.
- Journal
- Journal of Animal Ecology