Temperature measurement error may cause climate-impact studies to understate impacts by 15% or more
Peer-Reviewed Publication
Updates every hour. Last Updated: 20-Oct-2026 23:16 ET (21-Oct-2026 03:16 GMT/UTC)
When policymakers and city officials plan for climate change, they rely on economic studies showing how extreme heat impacts violent crime, public health, energy grids and crop yields. However, a new study published in the Journal of the Association of Environmental and Resource Economists reveals a hidden problem in that research: the temperatures used in many climate-impact studies can contain substantial measurement error, leading researchers to misestimate the true impacts of temperature and, on average, potentially understate climate impacts by at least 15%.
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